Congress a Diminishing Drive in Assam With No Bailout in Sight
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Simply 10 years in the past, it was virtually unattainable for any hardcore BJP supporter to consider Assam as a saffron party-dominated state. Within the 2011 Meeting election, Congress was driving excessive with 78 seats within the 126-member meeting whereas the BJP was languishing at single digit with solely 5 seats of their bag.
Nonetheless, at this time, the map of Assam politics has modified drastically. The recognition of Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma has pressured Congress to combat for retaining its existence within the state, which appears to be fairly a troublesome activity for the grand outdated celebration within the present state of affairs.
After the debacle in final 12 months’s election, even after forging an alliance with the All India United Democratic Entrance (AIUDF), the Congress celebration appears to be constantly dropping its floor in Assam.
The primary blow to the Congress got here when Sushmita Dev, former All India Mahila Congress president and the daughter of Congress stalwart Santosh Mohan Dev crossed over to the Trinamool Congress, leaving the state unit of the celebration in a whole clean spot.
There have been variations between Dev and the celebration state unit over the distribution of tickets and seat sharing with the AIUDF.
Nonetheless, she had then categorically denied rumours of leaving Congress. After just a few months, when Sushmita Dev switched to Trinamool Congress in a single day, the celebration confronted a large blow, particularly within the southern Assam.
What’s extra shocking is even after a 12 months Dev left the celebration, the Congress’ state unit couldn't reorganize the district committee in her house constituency — Silchar.
In some non-public discussions, Dev acknowledged that the celebration’s future is dim in Assam, and the highest management can be “very reluctant” to take powerful selections for its revival.
After BJP resumed energy in Assam, Shashikanta Das, a congress MLA, straightaway went to CM Sarma’s workplace, took his blessings, and brazenly introduced his assist for the BJP.
Although the Congress instantly suspended him from the celebration, Das is having fun with an MLA publish. To not point out, his act had additional embarrassed the Congress.
Rupjyoti Kurmi, four-time MLA and as soon as an energetic voice within the celebration additionally switched to the BJP alleging that Congress has not given him due respect even after his steady good efficiency within the consecutive elections.
Sushanta Burgohain, one other Congress MLA, adopted Kurmi and went to the saffron camp. Each of them gained with BJP tickets within the by-elections.
As AIUDF is not with Congress, the celebration is ready to lose extra seats if elections are held at this time.
In the meantime, the Congress celebration additionally broke its alliance with the AIUDF, although the technique behind this transfer continues to be unclear even among the many celebration leaders and staff.
In Muslim-dominated areas, Congress might do properly within the 2021 state election due to its alliance with Badruddin Ajmal’s celebration.
For instance, in Assam’s Barak valley area, the BJP might win solely 6 out of 15 seats whereas the Congress-AIUDF mix gained the remaining. Assam Pradesh Congress Committee working president Kamalakhya Dey Purkayastha might win from the North Karimganj meeting constituency solely after Ajmal brazenly supported him and appealed to the Muslim voters to vote for Purkayastha.
Within the Rajya Sabha election, the celebration suspended its distinguished Muslim face and MLA Siddeque Ahmed for anti-party actions. Following his suspension, Ahmed not solely pointed his gun in direction of Congress leaders and the celebration in cost, but in addition brazenly expressed his happiness because it was a possibility for him to return nearer to the ruling celebration.
The Presidential election in July introduced extra bother for the Congress because it was alleged that most of the celebration members solid their vote in favour of NDA nominee Droupadi Murmu — who finally turned the President, as an alternative of Opposition candidate Yashwant Sinha.
Assam Congress president Bhupen Borah and state in-charge of the celebration Jitendra Singh warned of stern punishment towards these ‘traitors’. Nonetheless, even after practically two-and-half months, the celebration might hardly take any motion.
The Congress has been a dominant drive in Assam for a lot of the three-and-half a long time since 1980.
From the 2016 Meeting election within the state, the Congress failed miserably to tackle completely different socio-political points in the proper path.
The BJP, alternatively, put vital efforts into mobilizing the folks from grassroot stage and made fruitful alliances with completely different potential socio-political forces of the state.
The celebration’s efforts within the state had been additional augmented when Narendra Modi (as Prime Minister) got here to energy within the Centre in 2014, and incumbent Assam Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma joined BJP the next 12 months.
Sarma had formulated a method to nook Congress by terming it to be a Muslim vote-bank-based celebration, making the grand outdated celebration lose its Hindu votes’ share considerably. Alternatively, a big part of the Muslim inhabitants is now rallying behind the Ajmal-led AIUDF.
Within the coming years, Congress could lose extra of its leaders and MLAs to BJP as Sarma has brazenly declared that many Congressmen in Assam have been conserving relations with him.
The reluctance and confusion to deal with the state of affairs by the highest management have made the state of affairs extra crucial.
Subsequently, there's a excessive risk that Congress in Assam could shrink much more in close to future and fully mislay its resemblance in a state which gave the celebration many stalwarts resembling Hiteswar Saikia, Tarun Gogoi, and Santosh Mohan Dev.
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